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  1. #1
    Senior Member Array Slim's Avatar
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    Cash for Clunkers flunked

    No doubt this is a good example of the "efficiency" we should come to expect with the 1900 page Obama care bill.

    http://money.cnn.com/2009/10/28/auto...ysis/index.htm

    I guess Edmunds is another member of the VRWC?
    Truth is Liberal.

  2. #2
    Senior Member Array lindajdunn's Avatar
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    http://money.cnn.com/2009/10/29/news...ion=2009102912

    Romer also noted that the swing from a 6.4% rate of decline in GDP during the first quarter to the third quarter's 3.5% rise is the biggest six-month turnaround in the economy since 1980.

    http://money.cnn.com/2009/10/29/news...ion=2009102917

    And, since some people prefer Fox:
    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009...payer-vehicle/

  3. #3
    Senior Member Array foibles's Avatar
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    Using traditional relationships between sales volumes of those (luxury) vehicles and the types of vehicles sold under Cash for Clunkers, Edmunds.com projected what sales would normally have been during the Cash for Clunkers period and in the weeks after.

    Using past typical relationships to make projections in a uniquely atypical financial economic environment seems suspect. At least it does to me.
    Last edited by foibles; 10-30-2009 at 11:23 AM. Reason: clarity
    Often in error. Never in doubt.

  4. #4
    Senior Member Array lindajdunn's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by foibles View Post
    Using past typical relationships to make projections in a uniquely atypical financial economic environment seems suspect. At least it does to me.

    I also have a problem with how they're calculating these relationships.

    Disclaimer: My ex-husband was a car salesman and his father, all uncles, and some cousins, owned car dealerships and/or auto auction businesses.

  5. #5
    Senior Member Array jessicasimpson's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Slim View Post

    I guess Edmunds is another member of the VRWC?
    Maybe we should keep a "strawman" running tab.
    "There is a fine line between clever and stupid" David St. Hubbins

  6. #6
    Curmudgeon Emeritus Array Inquartata's Avatar
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    Heh. Yes, obviously it's better to use the numbers and calculation methods of a politician trying to blow his own horn about a pet policy. Much more likely to get to the whole truth that way!

    I still like the Saturday Night Live barb about how Cash for Clunkers "did stimulate the economy. Unfortunately it was the Japanese economy".
    Use the Shift key, people! Keyboard manufacturers everywhere are ineffably saddened when you ignore what they made just for you!

  7. #7
    Senior Member Array jeff's Avatar
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    Ford declares surprise 3Q profit. http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,571009,00.html

    "The automaker said Monday earnings were fueled by U.S. market share gains, cost cuts and the Cash for Clunkers program, which drew flocks of buyers to showrooms this summer. Ford's stock rose 40 cents, or 5.7 percent, to $7.40 in pre-market trading." (emphasis added)
    "In theory, theory and practice are the same, but in practice, theory and practice are different."

  8. #8
    Senior Member Array migopod's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeff View Post
    Ford declares surprise 3Q profit. http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,571009,00.html

    "The automaker said Monday earnings were fueled by U.S. market share gains, cost cuts and the Cash for Clunkers program, which drew flocks of buyers to showrooms this summer. Ford's stock rose 40 cents, or 5.7 percent, to $7.40 in pre-market trading." (emphasis added)

    Oh Noes! Has Faux joined the VLWC?
    Entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem
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  9. #9
    Posting Hound Array Purple Fencer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeff View Post
    Ford declares surprise 3Q profit. http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,571009,00.html

    "The automaker said Monday earnings were fueled by U.S. market share gains, cost cuts and the Cash for Clunkers program, which drew flocks of buyers to showrooms this summer. Ford's stock rose 40 cents, or 5.7 percent, to $7.40 in pre-market trading." (emphasis added)
    More impressive for Ford is bailout money was not part of it.
    Need fencing equipment? See me at H.O.M. Fencing Supply

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  10. #10
    Senior Member Array erik_blank's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Purple Fencer View Post
    More impressive for Ford is bailout money was not part of it.
    Agreed that this was impressive, but you need to remember that Ford had had the dubiously good business sense to completely hock thier business BEFORE the marked crash, so they still had cash on hand when the other companies who had not taken out so many loans were without any kind of cash reserves when the banks started to go belly up and cut all available credit...
    "Rub her feet!" - Lazarus Long, Time enough for Love, Robert A. Heinlein

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  11. #11
    Senior Member Array I_luv_saber's Avatar
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    Implying foul play?
    "I may disagree with what you have to say, but I shall defend, to the death, your right to say it."

  12. #12
    Senior Member Array erik_blank's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by I_luv_saber View Post
    Implying foul play?
    I didn't mean to imply that, more that they were in a better position to ride out the credit crunch than their competitors were in THIS situation, so their relative success is to be expected. Of course they are still in a pretty poor situation since they have a larger dbt load and can still fail if they cannot service their debt.
    "Rub her feet!" - Lazarus Long, Time enough for Love, Robert A. Heinlein

    "Never moon a werewolf."
    Mike Binder

  13. #13
    Senior Member Array I_luv_saber's Avatar
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    I wasn't so much accusing or anything like that... it just piqued my curiosity. I hadn't heard anything about that so far...
    "I may disagree with what you have to say, but I shall defend, to the death, your right to say it."

  14. #14
    Senior Member Array Slim's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by migopod View Post
    Oh Noes! Has Faux joined the VLWC?
    Or maybe their not as biased as every here likes to claim.
    Truth is Liberal.

  15. #15
    Senior Member Array Slim's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeff View Post
    Ford declares surprise 3Q profit. http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,571009,00.html

    "The automaker said Monday earnings were fueled by U.S. market share gains, cost cuts and the Cash for Clunkers program, which drew flocks of buyers to showrooms this summer. Ford's stock rose 40 cents, or 5.7 percent, to $7.40 in pre-market trading." (emphasis added)
    Of course. What do you expect ANY auto maker to say? Duh.

    And since Ford agrees with what you want to believe but Edmunds doesnt, you'll pick the one that serves your purpose as being legit even though anyone can clearly see Ford's claim is self serving.

    I'm surprised at how blinded people can be.
    Truth is Liberal.

  16. #16
    Senior Member Array jeff's Avatar
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    The other manufacturers also said C4C drew sales - the only difference is that Ford declared a profit.

    So, yeah ANY manufacturer says that, because it apparently is the case. Who you gonna believe, the people who saw sales figures go up because of C4C (and down after the program ended), or some magazine that says it would have happened anyway.

    But, you'll opinion shop to find a source that tells you want you want to hear. I'm not surprised how blinded some people can be. And I'll believe FOX is less biased when the talking heads on their shows admit that a Democratic program worked.
    Last edited by jeff; 11-04-2009 at 02:29 PM.
    "In theory, theory and practice are the same, but in practice, theory and practice are different."

  17. #17
    Senior Member Array foibles's Avatar
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    Joke

    Quote Originally Posted by Slim View Post
    Of course. What do you expect ANY auto maker to say? Duh.

    And since Ford agrees with what you want to believe but Edmunds doesnt, you'll pick the one that serves your purpose as being legit even though anyone can clearly see Ford's claim is self serving.

    I'm surprised at how blinded people can be.
    I bet you were hell on your mom/ dad growing up.

    Often in error. Never in doubt.

  18. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by jeff View Post
    And I'll believe FOX is less biased when the talking heads on their shows admit that a Democratic program worked.
    Maybe they will if one ever works!

  19. #19
    Senior Member Array jessicasimpson's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bayou Bum View Post
    Maybe they will if one ever works!
    How about Rural Electrification?
    How about the Clinton Admin?
    "There is a fine line between clever and stupid" David St. Hubbins

  20. #20
    Senior Member Array migopod's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jessicasimpson View Post
    How about Rural Electrification?
    That just led to rednecks on the internets.
    Entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem
    ~
    ^[:wq

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