Good News?

[Larrison]

Just to throw something totally different into the water cooler,

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.../ixportal.html

New report out from researchers at UBC in Canada. The first Human Security Report, written by academics led by Andrew Mack, of the University of British Columbia, cites popular notions that war is becoming more common and deadlier, that genocide is rising and that terrorism poses the greatest threat to humanity.

"Not one of these claims is based on reliable data," it says. "All are suspect; some are demonstrably false. Yet they are widely believed because they reinforce popular assumptions."

The authors say there are 40 per cent fewer armed conflicts than in the early 1990s. Between 1991 and last year 28 wars for self-determination began but 43 were ended or contained.

In 1992, when the Yugoslav wars of secession began, there were 51 state-based conflicts around the world. The figure dropped to 32 in 2002 and 29 in 2003. The arms trade declined by a third from 1990 to 2003 and the number of refugees fell by 45 per cent between 1992 and 2003.

In 1950 each conflict killed 38,000 people on average. By 2002 that had dropped to 600.

Now, the study data ends at 2003, and certainly this is a trend that can reverse quickly -- but interesting data.

Comments?

[ReverseLunge]

It means that media is getting stronger. In the early 90's most people weren't online and there weren't as many news channels on cable and 9/11 didn't happen yet. People were more busy going out and living life. There was no internet dating and stuff. American warfare is much deadlier tough.

[gojujay]

It couldn't be the media trying to attract eyeballs could it? They wouldn't exagerate something just to gain attention, would they?

[Slim]

In 1950 each conflict killed 38,000 people on average. By 2002 that had dropped to 600.

Now, the study data ends at 2003, and certainly this is a trend that can reverse quickly -- but interesting data.

Comments?

Can you say JDAM?